Our tipster won last week so it is very likely he will lose you your money this week!
Still worth a read though!
OH and if you are having a bet click the links below so I can pay off my cat's funeral costs.
I bet the players on the European Tour have been pumped for weeks for the start of the Tswane Open, South Africa... or not.
I on the other hand I have been looking forward to the Pro Am at Pebble Beach. It’s a great tournament to watch and one golf course I would love to play before I snuff it.
(Which coincidentally for regular readers is what happened to my cat Clarence thanks to Thomas Pieters' opening nine last week)
After the first week tips earning a profit I am fully expecting to lose miserably this week, as I can’t win two in a row surely!
Where we at?
The tournament differs from most PGA tour events as the first three days are played on three different golf courses.
Pebble Beach – Par 72
Spyglass Hill – Par 72
Monterey Peninsula – Par 71
After the first three days a cut is made where 60 players will finish the tournament at Pebble Beach.
The way all three golf courses are setup they do need help from the Pacific (i.e. wind and lots of it) to remain tough.
Unfortunately or fortunately dependent on your point of view the weather is set fair this week with hardly a breath of wind in sight which means the scoring will be very low, I am expecting 20 under or more to win it.
Disclaimer - This prediction is also swayed by the fact I used to shoot -85 on Tiger Woods '03 around Pebble.
Where to look
The field is very deep with six of the top 10 in the world featuring. There are also three players in the field that have won this event twice, Jimmy Walker (18/1), Dustin Johnson (10/1) and Brandt Snedeker (12/1).
As I mentioned earlier the courses are gettable if there is no wind and not particularly long so I don’t think driving distance/accuracy will make much difference this week.
As the golf courses will be playing easy there will be plenty of chances for birdies thus plumping for guys with good putting stats looks like the place to start!
There are two or three players in the field this week that satisfy that requirement and my guess is that you know who one of them is!
Back Jordan Spieth to win outright @ 11/2
Jordan Spieth is best priced 11/2 and comparing his chances to Rory Mcilroy who was as short as 9/4 in Dubai you would think there might be some value there, even with the field being deep.
Also being the best putter on the planet makes life relatively easy, I think this course sets up for him and he looks a great chance to get his second title of the year.
Back Hunter Mahan each way @ 80/1
Hunter Mahan is ranked eighth in strokes gained putting and although definitely not at his best this season (some could argue the same applies for last season too) he is a massive 80/1 to win the tournament. Considering he has finished sixth here before and played all three courses plenty of times I think he has to be worth a shot.
So, yeh, these lot are probably all going to make 12's on their first holes but at least it'll be a bit of fun.
Let us know who you go for... like this guy who copied us last week on Pieters... sorry mate!
I'm the Managing Editor at The Club. I like putting and Rioja. I dislike my low slice.