His profits from first week were burnt after a shocker at Pebble but the lad is back with more betting tips/nonsense!
No shock to you or me last week with all of the bets failing to gain profit at Pebble Beach. It was a strange week really considering the depth of the field that only one of the tournament favorites (Mickelson who missed a putt from five feet to force a playoff) managed to really challenge.
A guy who doesn’t even have a PGA tour card and was only playing in the event due to previously winning on tour in 2005 managed to win (at 1000/1). If you backed him stop reading this blog and go sit in the the toilet with your right hand, you deserve to congratulate yourself.
Riviera Country Club, California
Riviera is one of the toughest tracks on the PGA Tour. One interesting statistic from last year is that it was the most difficult golf course to make putts from inside three feet, with an unbelievable 72 misses during the event from that range and in!
The track also had tour lows in terms of holing out from four to eight feet and 10 feet and in.
What does that tell us?
Not a fucking lot other than it's a pain the ass to get the ball in the hole.
Is there a line in this week?
Nothing really sticks out in terms of statistics looking at recent history. One semi-interesting statistic is that Masters Winners have done really well here, Watson, Mickelson, Scott, Mike Weir all having won the Masters and the Northern Trust.
That seems to indicate the course sets up for a right handed draw or a left handed fade similar to Augusta.
Who am I backing this week?
Back Schwartzel each way at 33/1
Charl Schwartzel – He finished top five in this event in 2013 and 2014 and managed to win the coveted Tshwane Open last week. If you watch a lot of golf you know that Charl has been an awful putter in recent years his ball striking/swing is one of the best in golf but he hasn’t got the ball in the hole when it matters hence the huge drop in world ranking. You might be thinking why are you backing him then you weird twat? Well Charl apparently spent some serious time with a renowned visual coach last week which improved his putting no end.. I hope that trait continues this week because if it does he could win this easily.
Back Bubba each way at 28/1
Bubba Watson – I don’t like the guy for many reasons his haircut, his attitude, the constant moaning, the fact that he is called Bubba, the bible bashing the list is endless. However he does hit the ball a mile, he has won this event previously, he hits the ball with a fade and he hasn’t quite been firing on all cylinders yet this year. All of these facts signal he’s an attractive price to win the event at around the 28/1 mark.
Back Cameron Smith each way at 175/1
Cameron Smith – A lot of you won’t have even heard of this bloke and nor had I until a couple of years ago, Cameron is a Queenslander (where I live) and is the outstanding prospect in Australian golf. His notable performance so far in his career was last season finishing fourth in the US Open after qualifying for the event which also means he gets an invite to Augusta this year.
He’s only made four cuts from eight events this year but you feel a win on the PGA tour cannot be that far away, I will be backing him to break his duck this year and priced between 150 – 200/1 each week he’s only got to finish top five twice this season and I will make money easy.
What about Spieth and Mcilroy?
I’ve rejected Spieth on the back of his poor showing last week at Pebble although he did finish really well on Sunday. I’ve turned down Mcilroy for the fact that his putting has been substandard (that’s being kind) so far this year. Cue one of them to win by 10 shots!
Words - James Cobley
All the best punting hopefully it goes better than last week!
Let us know who you have gone for.
I'm the Managing Editor at The Club. I like putting and Rioja. I dislike my low slice.