Firstly let me introduce myself, my name is James and I used to have a severe gambling problem.
So severe in fact I banned myself from approximately 12 online gambling companies and every casino in Plymouth where I ‘attended' University.
After this up and down time in my life, I managed to blag a job working for Betfair (insert pun where gambling does pay off and you can strike it rich), before meeting an Australian girl and moving 18,000km’s away to where I currently live in Brisbane, Queensland.
Let's get one thing straight... the tips on this page and the tips on every tipping/fantasy site in the land are fucking garbage.
If somebody could tip the outcomes of golf accurately (especially with the odds being much better than other sports) they wouldn’t waste their time tipping things on Twitter or blogs.
I assume they would be successfully punting on their iPad whilst sipping cocktails in the Bahamas.
However, I hope the information I dig up might help you decide who to pick for certain markets, who to leave out and might be a bit entertaining… so lets give it a crack!
Venue – Emirates Golf Club, Dubai, UAE
Par – 72 Yardage – 7,301
Where to look - The Par 5's and Driving Distance
The last three winners have all ranked in the top five Driving Distance for the week. The longer hitters in the field (Mcilroy, Pieters, Colsaerts and Bjerregaard) can reach all of the Par 5's if they get a good tee shot away.
If the longer guys are playing four Par 5's like long Par 4's and make ‘par’ 13/14 times out of 16 then they will be in with a huge chance of being in the chasing pack come Sunday.
Mcilroy is as short as 9/4 for the outright win. Obviously he should be there or thereabouts but I certainly won’t be backing him after watching his performance with the flat stick in Abu Dhabi two weeks ago.
Thomas Pieters is a much more reasonable 33/1, the Belgian seems a better version of his compatriot Colsaerts, finishing second in Abu Dhabi after chasing Ricky Fowler hard in the final round. He hits it a mile but also looks to have dialed in his wedge game.
Lucas Bjerregaard is another interesting party. As I mentioned the Dane hits it into orbit and this track could set up perfectly for him. He has not played well so far this campaign after finishing 2015 relatively well, at 125/1 though he could be worth a couple of quid each way as a rank outsider.
Other interests - Andy Sullivan
At 33/1 I really do like Andy Sullivan. He appears to be a down to earth bloke who just loves to play golf.
Sullivan has finished fourth here previously and went from being –12 thru 44 holes two weeks ago to –7 after 72.
Having watched pretty much all of that event and one thing I can tell you is that his putting is on fire… unfortunately though he drove the ball like I do (I play off of 10).
That was the main reason he struggled to score as the HSBC is renowned for penal rough off of the fairways. The Emirates is a bit easier if you miss the short stuff and I expect him to be in the chasing pack come Sunday.
First Round Leader – Rory Mcilroy
Back Thomas Pieters @ 33/1
Back Andy Sullivan Each Way @ 33/1
Back Lucas Bjerregaard Each Way @ 125/1
Back Rory Mcilroy first round leader @ 13/2
Let us know what you have gone for and we can see who does best, tweeting the best and worst of your betting stories.
All a bit of a laugh where we all will probably lose a few quid... but at least we are honest about it!
I'm the Managing Editor at The Club. I like putting and Rioja. I dislike my low slice.